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Here’s the fascinating twist: 2.3% is also the approximate long-term average growth rate of the U.S. economy since 1947 when adjusted for population and workforce changes. In other words, it’s our speed limit . Push harder, and you risk a crash. Go slower, and you fall behind on debt, innovation, and living standards.

Now you’re overheating. Demand outruns supply. Wages spike, but so do prices. The central bank steps in with interest rate hikes, which risk breaking something in the financial system. 2.3 gdps

At 2.3%, productivity grows steadily. Inflation hovers near the 2% target. Employment remains strong without labor shortages. The stock market climbs a “wall of worry”—slowly, sustainably. It’s the economic equivalent of a marathon runner maintaining a 6-minute mile: unflashy, but unbeatable over the long haul. Here’s the fascinating twist: 2